Tuesday, October 18, 2011

Reducing The Risk Of Diabetes

Adults, middle-aged and up, can cut their risk of developing Type 2 diabetes by as much as 80% by adhering to a combination of five healthy-lifestyle habits, a new analysis shows.

Many studies have shown having a healthy diet, exercising, maintaining normal body weight, not smoking and consuming alcohol moderately can lower one's risk of developing diabetes and other diseases.

The new analysis from the National Institutes of Health examined these individual factors to see how each -- alone and in combination -- contributes to a reduction in the chance a person will get the disease. The research will be published in the Sept. 6 issue of the Annals of Internal Medicine.

The analysis shows keeping just one of these five healthy-lifestyle factors can reduce the risk of developing Type 2 diabetes, the most common form which 26 million people were diagnosed with last year. It is the seventh leading cause of death in the U.S., according to the Centers for Disease Control.

More than 200,000 people who are part of a larger NIH-AARP diet-and-health study and were between ages 50 and 71 when the study began in 1995 were involved in the analysis. At the study's start, participants had no signs of heart disease, cancer or diabetes.

Study participants filled out detailed questionnaires about what kinds of foods they ate, whether they consumed alcohol and if they were current or former smokers. People were also asked how often they exercised, and provided weight and height so that body mass index, or BMI, could be calculated. Study participants were followed for about 11 years. During that time, about 10% of men in the study and 8% of women developed diabetes.

Researchers led by Jared Reis, an epidemiologist at the National Heart Lung and Blood Institute, grouped study participants into lifestyle categories ranging from 'best' to 'worst.' People in the best category had all five healthy-lifestyle factors, while those in the worst had none.

For diet, people received a score of one to five based on fruit and vegetable consumption, the amount of and type of fat they ate and other factors. Those who scored in the top 40% were considered to have a healthy diet. Exercising three times a week for at least 20 minutes, and being a nonsmoker for at least 10 years were two additional healthy-lifestyle factors. Alcohol consumption of no more than one drink a day for women and two for men was considered as another factor, along with weight. People with a BMI of between 18.5 and 24.9 -- a body-mass measure that is considered normal -- were counted as being in the lowest-risk category for weight.

Dr. Reis said the average study participant had two out of five healthy lifestyle factors.

Overall, researchers found that body mass index had the strongest association among the factors for diabetes risk. When looking at BMI in isolation, men of normal weight were 70% less likely to develop diabetes than overweight or obese men, while normal weight women were 78% less likely to develop diabetes.

In separate calculations of how factors add up to reduce risk, researchers found that men and women whose diet and exercise both were considered in the healthy range were just under 30% less likely to develop diabetes. When being a nonsmoker was added to diet and exercise, those people were about one-third less likely to develop the disease.

Men who also consumed alcohol moderately, in addition to the previous three factors, were 39% less likely to develop diabetes while women had 57% lower odds, suggesting the alcohol factor played a bigger role in women than men. And when BMI was added to the other healthy lifestyle factors, men were 72% less likely to develop diabetes, while women had an 84% lower risk.

Although weight is one of the most important factors in diabetes development, Dr. Reis said that even overweight people can lower their odds of developing diabetes if they adopt just one other healthy lifestyle habit such as exercising three times a week.

Monday, July 4, 2011

McDull classic dialogue

Dear Chairman

  How are you? I am fine. You like bun? I like bun!
  
  We Hong Kong people here love bun. Buns of all sort. Dear friend, it is important to snatch buns. It is a game, no joke. One needs energy, and many night congee. In my stupid opinion... Snatching bun is an Olympic game. Let athletes all over the world snatch! And there will be peace."
 
  McDull: Fishball noodle, please.
  
  School Principal and Logan: No noodle left.
  
  McDull: Fishball rice noodle then.
  
  School Principal and Logan: No fishball left.
  
  McDull: Chicken wing noodle then.
  
  School Principal and Logan: No noodle left.
  
  McDull: How about fishball congee?
  
  School Principal and Logan: No fishball left.
  
  McDull: Nothing left today? How about beef noodle?
  
  School Principal and Logan: No noodle left.
  
  McDull: Again? Fried chicken wing with fishball...
  
  School Principal and Logan: No fishball left.
  
  Darby: Hey, fishball and noodle are both gone... You can’t combine them with other things.
  
  McDull: Can’t combine them? A bowl of fishball then.
  
  School Principal and Logan: No fishball left.
  
  McDull: A bowl of noodle?
  
  School Principal and Logan: No noodle left.

Thursday, May 26, 2011

Kim Jong Il Meets Chinese Leaders

Leaders of two of the world's most secretive countries─China and North Korea─met Wednesday, leaving people in other countries wondering anew how their unusual, unconfirmed-but-visible summit will affect the security and economy of East Asia.

North Korean dictator Kim Jong Il increased the frequency of his visits to China over the past year. The latest trip, which began Friday, is the third in the past 12 months, preceded by just four trips since he took power in 1994.

So far, the visits to China's relatively more open society have not yet led Mr. Kim to change the North's pursuit of nuclear weapons, its isolationist, state-controlled economy or its withholding of basic rights and freedoms from its 24 million citizens.

But the trips remain an intense source of curiosity in neighboring South Korea and elsewhere. Mr. Kim is perceived by outside analysts to be under enormous pressure to secure Chinese economic aid as well as Beijing's political support for his son to succeed him upon his death. Mr. Kim is 70 years old and his health deteriorated after a stroke-like illness in 2008.

Mr. Kim arrived in Beijing Wednesday morning and met with Chinese leaders in the evening, according to foreign news accounts that tracked his motorcade to the Great Hall of the People, China's main government building. However, accounts varied on whether he met Chinese President Hu Jintao or Premier Wen Jiabao.

As in the past, neither officials nor the state media from the two countries confirmed Mr. Kim's meeting with Chinese leaders.

Usually, the two countries don't discuss Mr. Kim's visits until he returns to North Korea. However, Mr. Wen earlier this week told South Korean President Lee Myung-bak that Mr. Kim was in China to learn about economic development. Mr. Lee has repeatedly said North Korea should embrace China's style of economic reform.

After several of Mr. Kim's previous trips, China also said he was there to learn about its economy. Each time, news stories and outside analysts speculated that Mr. Kim might open the North's economy and attempt to lift the country out of poverty.

Despite the official silence about the latest trip, Mr. Kim's presence in China has been well-covered by foreign journalists and by Chinese citizens using Internet sites to post pictures and comments about seeing him.

One woman with a Chinese state-run dance troupe that performed for Mr. Kim in Yangzhou posted smartphone pictures of the event a day later. And an employee of an electronics company in Nanjing on Tuesday uploaded video images of Mr. Kim arriving at his factory.

That video intrigued North Korean analysts and observers in South Korea because it appeared to show that Mr. Kim was accompanied by a woman named Kim Ok, who has long been known to be his consort and is rumored to be his fifth wife. It wasn't clear whether Mr. Kim had taken her along on previous trips.

Over the past few days, Mr. Kim visited a Chinese auto maker, an electronics manufacturer, a solar-energy company and a discount store. At the discount store, he asked a clerk for salad dressing, according to a South Korean newspaper.

Separately, the U.S. envoy for North Korea human-rights issues, Robert King, arrived in Pyongyang Tuesday for a first-ever visit. Mr. King is attempting to assess North Korea's claims that it is willing to accept American food assistance again, which it cut off in 2008 after becoming upset at Korean-speaking monitors the U.S. sent in to assure food was reaching the needy.

In a sign of North Korea's wariness of the visit, its state media did not publicize Mr. King's arrival, unlike previous trips to Pyongyang by U.S. officials and former officials or even the visit this week of representatives from the New York-based Asia Society.

Tuesday, May 10, 2011

Rare Earths Seen Growing Less Rare

Demand for rare earth elements that has driven up prices more than tenfold since 2009 is likely to be met by a surplus of supply by 2013, as Western companies start up new mines to compete with the Chinese firms that now dominate the market, Goldman Sachs analysts predicted Thursday.

The forecast calls into question the sustainability of the current boom in rare earths, a suite of 17 elements used in products from high-powered magnets, and fuel refining to energy-efficient light bulbs and mobile phone screens, as well as the shares of companies seeking to produce them.

Prices of rare earths hovered between $5 a kilogram and $20 a kilo from the early 1990s until 2010. But a 40% cut in export quotas by China, which accounts for 90% of global rare earth production, sent prices soaring. The basket price of rare earths held in Lynas Corp. Ltd.'s Mount Weld deposit in western Australia─the largest non-Chinese mine, due to come to production in the next few years─has jumped to an average of $162.66 kilos from just $10.32 kilos in 2009.

Goldman's view differs from that of miners. In a presentation last month, Lynas forecast that global demand for rare earths, which include neodymium, cerium and lanthanum, will outstrip supply this year by 35,000 tons this year and in 2012. Annual supply shortfalls of around 20,000 tons are expected in 2013 and 2014, it added. It predicted long-term prices in the $120/kg-to-$180/kg range.

Lynas Chief Executive Nicholas Curtis says China is on the verge of becoming a net importer of the elements, a transformation that would be similar to those that drove major shifts in global markets for coal in 2009 and oil in the mid-1990s, and could accentuate the current price spike.

'China will become a net importer because its consumption for its own domestic value-added industry is going to drive very high [demand] growth for these resources. They've explored every inch of China for what's available and if they had more rare earths deposits of any size, it would be being developed now,' he said in a recent interview.

Lynas shares have risen fourfold since China announced the quota cuts in July 2010.

Goldman Sachs analyst Malcolm Southwood, however, said the price boom is nearing its peak. The supply deficit will peak at 18,734 tons this year, equivalent to 13.2% of a forecast 141,524 tons of demand, before the market slips into a slight surplus in 2013, he said in the report published Thursday. The surplus will rise to 5,860 tons or 3.2% of projected demand in the following year, the report said.

Initially, at least, prices will likely continue to rise, he said. The basket price for the Mount Weld rare earths should climb to $227 a kilogram next year, a gain of about 40%. Prices may eventually moderate to an average of $82 a kilogram, but that will happen only in 2015, the third consecutive year of a global surplus, the report said.

'We envisage a closely balanced market in 2013, and modest surpluses thereafter─at least, for some of the more abundant light rare earths─with some price softening in the 2013-2015 period,' according to the report.

Goldman's view matches the outlook of many other market participants who believe the current boom is overdone. 'For [the rare earths such as] cerium and lanthanum, there will certainly be some surplus,' said a major European rare earths trader, who didn't want to be named because of the sensitivity of trading relationships.

'When you have these high prices, people immediately start to look for substitutes, and it takes one to two years, but people can switch out of rare earths.'

He cited the glass industry, which has replaced its consumption of cerium with selenium over the past year as prices of the rare earth rose to $135 per kilo currently from just $3.88 per kilo in 2009.

Other analysts see prices falling much closer to historic averages as new projects come onstream, particularly if continued high prices encourage the development of major deposits such as Greenland Minerals & Energy Ltd.'s Kvanefjeld site, which is more than twice the size of Mountain Pass and Mount Weld combined, but located on an isolated mountainside just south of the Arctic circle.

'Lynas has said their production costs are $10 per kilogram. If they think they can sell their material at $150 a kilogram, a markup of 15 times, I don't know customers are going to be prepared to pay for it,' said Dudley Kingsnorth, executive director of cole haan shoes Company of Australia, a rare earths analysis house.

'Once these new mines come onstream, there will be a fall in price, and if miners insist on multiples of 15-20, they're going to face more competitors. They're going to have to face a little bit of reality.'

Sunday, April 10, 2011

Washington Mulls Stockpiling Rare Earths

With China building up its strategic reserves of rare earth metals even as it crimps exports, a new piece of counter-China legislation on rare earths introduced to the U.S. Congress reflects the depths of Washington's anxiety over the sector. China has been storing up supplies of rare earths for months, recently passing a tax that could help further fund the effort, in what analysts see as a bid by Beijing to further tighten its control over a market it already dominates.

The issue of whether the U.S. itself should start stockpiling on national defense grounds is one the biggest questions surrounding the global response to China's tight control over rare earths, which are crucial for making magnets in wind turbines and polishing the glass in night-vision goggles.

The new bill, introduced Wednesday by Colorado Republic Rep. Mike Coffman, 'Seeks to Curtail Dangerous Reliance on China for Critical Materials,' according to the press release.

The Armed Services Committee member's bill â ' dubbed 'Resart' â ' stops short of calling for a permanent military stockpile. Instead, it would establish a quasi-government inventory built from U.S. production sources, which at this moment are limited.

According to his press release, Mr. Coffman proposes establishment of a 'Defense Logistics Agency' that would set long-term contracts to inventory rare earths and make the material available for purchase by government contractors, presumably in the defense industry. The Department of Defense estimates the U.S. uses around 5% of the global supply of rare earths for military purposes.

It is unclear how the logistics system would work and a spokesman didn't immediately respond to a question about the bill, which also calls for cabinet-level support, financial assistance and faster mine approval for the industry.

Though Mr. Coffman's new agency sounds meaty, a bill he sponsored around a year ago that died in Congress was more direct, calling specifically for a 'national stockpile' of rare earths. In a January interview with The Wall Street Journal, the congressman said a national stockpile isn't his preferred route to build a U.S. supply chain in the metals because he would prefer market forces to spur its development.

Direct U.S. government involvement as a buyer of rare earths would mark an important new wrinkle for the price-sensitive louis vuitton handbags sector, which in the past year has taken virtually all its cues from China. The market is in a Catch-22:|| An American stockpile would mean higher prices on more demand but a lack of one could also support prices on fears of supply shortfalls. Nervousness about China's export policies has already pushed importers Japan and South Korea to stockpile the metals.

In February a group of U.S. scientists issued a report that warned against rare earth stockpiles, saying they can 'act as disincentives to innovation' in terms of efficiency and innovation http://www.aps.org/about/pressreleases/elementsreport.cfm A Congressional Research Center report published last month described a stockpile as one option, while a Department of Defense assessment of the industry is awaited.

An association of U.S. magnet makers that supports Mr. Coffman's issued a statement on Wednesday defending a stockpile: 'The bill reconfigures the Defense National Stockpile into an interactive strategic reserve to meet national security needs for neodymium magnets and potentially other rare earths products, breaking China's current stranglehold on the supply chain by giving industry the tools necessary to provide a reliable strategic reserve of neo alloys and magnets on an accelerated timeline.'

Other congressional efforts touch on how to counter China's dominance in rare earths, but don't take stands on stockpiling.

Whether there is a stockpile or not, Washington is getting closer to an industry that has until recently been all about China. The primary U.S. rare earth miner Molycorp Inc. recently announced it plans to team with the Department of Energy's Ames Laboratories to look at new ways to make rare earth magnets.

Wednesday, April 6, 2011

Apple 'iPhone 5' Coming This Summer?

Ian Sherr of Dow Jones: “A Korean technology news website says the next iteration of Apple's popular iPhone will debut in the summer, contradicting rumors the smartphone was going to be delayed to the later half of this year.

“The website, etnews.co.kr, says AAPL will hold a special event in June to unveil the device a few weeks before its release. Over the past three years, AAPL has unveiled new iPhones at its World Wide Developer's Conference held in the early summer, but recent speculation about parts shortages and subsequent production delays have left AAPL watchers expecting a fall debut instead.

AAPL shares flat at $341.18.”

Monday, March 21, 2011

Rumors spread throughout Asia, nuclear radiation, causing panic

Asian nations vowed to crack down on hoax messages warning of radiation spreading beyond quake-hit Japan, which have helped stoke growing unease over the crisis.

Shoppers scrambled to hoard supplies of favorite Japanese food products, fearing contamination of future stocks, after radiation was unleashed from the stricken Fukushima Daiichi nuclear plant.

The hoax text messages and e-mails, warning people to shelter from dangerous radioactive material, were reported to have spread as far afield as India.

Thought to have originated in the Philippines and purporting to be a BBC newsflash, the messages urge people to stay indoors and swab their thyroid glands with iodine solution to block radiation sickness.

Japan's atomic emergency has sparked panic buying of iodine pills, even though experts warned they are of limited use. Iodine solution, an antiseptic, is completely ineffective.

In Hong Kong, nervous parents queued for the preferred Japanese powdered milk formula as fears grew that future shipments may contain radioactive traces. And despite widespread expert assurances that there is currently no risk outside Japan, the radiation threat was also troubling restaurateurs around the region.

Some schools in the northern Philippines sent their pupils home early on Monday.

Philippine Justice Minister Leila de Lima ordered the National Bureau of Investigation to trace the source of the hoax SMS messages, saying they were liable for crimes against public order.

Scientists and authorities in Singapore dismissed a text message circulating in the country warning about possible radioactive rain as a hoax.

The Singaporean National Environment Agency said that the country would not be affected by radioactive rain because the nuclear reactors in Japan were thousands of kilometers away, local media reported.

Chinese authorities have stepped up efforts to reassure citizens that the country faces no imminent danger from the radiation leaks affecting its neighbor.

South Korea urged calm after bogus alerts swept its social media networks and vowed to punish those responsible under social unrest laws allowing up to a year in jail.

Manila also threatened tough action, as the hoax texts prompted some panicked schools to close, despite being about 2,800 kilometers away from the Fukushima plant.